Data Sources
Every indicator in the VoteROI.com Mood Forecast composite is sourced from primary, public-record data published by federal, state, or academic institutions. No proprietary feeds, no anonymous tipsters. Attribution and refresh cadence are listed below; the live coverage table is generated from the production database.
Source attribution
Federal Election Commission (FEC)
- What
- 86.9M individual contribution records, 2000-2026 federal races
- Cadence
- Daily for active cycles; monthly between cycles
- License
- Public domain
Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)
- What
- LAUS state unemployment, CES nonfarm payrolls, UI initial claims
- Cadence
- Monthly (LAUS, CES); weekly (UI)
- License
- Public domain
Energy Information Administration (EIA)
- What
- State retail gasoline prices and consumption
- Cadence
- Weekly
- License
- Public domain
US Census Bureau (Census)
- What
- ACS demographics, CPS Voting Supplement, Decennial 2020
- Cadence
- Annual (ACS, CPS); decennial (population)
- License
- Public domain
MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MIT EL)
- What
- Senate state turnout 1976-2024; senate, governor, president outcomes
- Cadence
- Election years
- License
- ODC-BY
Centers for Disease Control (CDC)
- What
- WONDER multiple cause-of-death (overdose, suicide)
- Cadence
- Quarterly
- License
- Public domain
IRS Statistics of Income (IRS SOI)
- What
- State-to-state migration flows from tax returns
- Cadence
- Annual
- License
- Public domain
Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI)
- What
- Uniform Crime Reporting; violent and property crime by state
- Cadence
- Annual
- License
- Public domain
Federal Highway Administration (FHWA)
- What
- Travel Volume Trends (state-level vehicle miles)
- Cadence
- Monthly
- License
- Public domain
US Department of Labor (DOL)
- What
- State-level initial unemployment claims
- Cadence
- Weekly
- License
- Public domain
Google Trends (Google Trends)
- What
- Search interest in safety, escape, and civic-anxiety keywords
- Cadence
- Daily
- License
- Google ToS, attribution required
VoteHub (VoteHub)
- What
- Polling aggregation for candidate fit feature
- Cadence
- As polls release
- License
- VoteHub ToS
Live coverage
| Dimension | Indicator | Source | Last refresh | States | Rows |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CivicTrust | Civic Participation Composite | Census CPS Voting Supplement | 2026-06-05 | 51 | 1122 |
| DomesticStability | State Domestic Stability Composite | Census ACS 1-year (S1201, S1701, S2503) | 2026-05-29 | 51 | 1020 |
| Economy | State Initial Unemployment Claims (Economy) | DOL ETA Economy | 2026-05-23 | 51 | 22338 |
| Economy | State Unemployment Rate (LAUS SA) | BLS LAUS | 2026-04-30 | 51 | 7497 |
| Economy | Weekly Retail Gasoline Price (PADD) | EIA | 2026-06-22 | 51 | 22593 |
| Escape | State Escape Composite | CDC fpsi-y8tj + IRS SOI Migration | 2026-06-05 | 51 | 1377 |
| Information | Political Search Interest | Google Trends | 2024-10-29 | 51 | 816 |
| Information | Political Search Interest (Fixed Terms) | Google Trends | 2026-06-23 | 51 | 1275 |
| Information_candidates | Political Search Interest (Candidate Aggregate) | Google Trends Candidate Aggregate | 2026-06-23 | 51 | 2600 |
| Isolation | State Isolation Composite | Census ACS 1-year + 2020 Decennial | 2024-10-01 | 51 | 561 |
| Isolation | State Isolation Composite | Census Decennial DHC P2 + ACS 1-year B11001 + S0801 | 2026-05-29 | 51 | 459 |
| Mobility | State Vehicle Miles Traveled | FHWA TVT | 2026-03-31 | 51 | 7497 |
| Mobility | TSA Checkpoint Throughput (state estimate) | TSA/BTS | 2026-06-21 | 51 | 139179 |
| Money | Political Money Velocity | VoteROI FEC | 2026-06-05 | 51 | 816 |
| Pulse | VoteHub State Polling Pulse | VoteHub | 2026-06-20 | 2 | 12 |
| Risk | State Risk Composite | BLS LAUS + Census BDS | 2026-06-05 | 51 | 459 |
| Security | FBI NICS Background Checks | FBI NICS | 2024-07-31 | 51 | 15351 |
| Security | State Initial Unemployment Claims | DOL ETA | 2026-05-23 | 51 | 107290 |
| Spending | FEC Operating Expenditures | FEC Bulk | 2026-06-26 | 51 | 9843 |